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If you are truly "investing for the long term" you are averaging down your price in a market like this. The economist is right that this could be a very long bear market, prices may go down further, continue to dollar cost average your portfolio and be prepared for the next run (assuming we get one).
In times like these, especially when looking at a retirement account, you MUST take a macro economic view. Look to the bigger picture. Do you think that our economy will come back, if so, do you feel that the stock market will recover with it? Yes, then invest, no, then get into gold or something tangible. Just do not panic. That is a foolish thing to do, hold on, be patient and invest for the long term.
If you are trading (not investing), good luck! Personally, I do both. My trading account is 100% cash right now. I'll be buying and selling securities over the next few days, however, my 401k is allocated in a way I feel is good for the long term. It has taking a beating over the past 10 days, but that is how the cookie crumbles. Allocate based on tolerance and age.
I've purposefully decided against tinkering with my allocations right now and am merely staying the course.
Just have a diversified portfolio that is realigned semiannually or annually because you will earn dividend or income thus the portfolio has to be re-aligned to maintain a proper balance and weighting according to the original diversification allocation.
But don't time the market in your work retirement plans...attempt that in your brokerage account only, if you wish.
I'm not an old person, but I remember the hard times in the early 90s, I remember downturns in the 80s and a few in the 70s. More importantly I've read a lot of financial history and I know what happens after a recession... the stock market goes back up and it goes even higher than before. This country is still one of the strongest markets in the world.
I've lived well below my means so I have a very comfortable amount of savings, and I just got a credit card with a 0% interest rate for the next 9 months, which will help my savings absorb the impact of a much lower income.
I also have quite a few years before retirement (I'm 24).
Lehma Brother's yet to be settled accounting books is another piece of the puzzle. If Jubak is right, everyone who sells their stocks and moves to cash this month will get seriously screwed if there's a huge bounce at the end of October (selling low thing).