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Link to my article: http://www.frugalsister.com/2008/06/keeping-tra...
My technique is to look at funds and trends individually. I rebalance from one that's gone up a lot to one that's gone significantly lower or to bonds if I'm below where I want to be with the percentage of my portfolio that's in bonds. Then my bonds are available to buy with when a particular stock mutual fund goes lower. I rarely buy or sell more than $1,500 of any one fund at a time and I have enough different mutual funds, (21 over 3 different IRA/40K plans from different employers), to prevent me from getting dinged with penalties for trading too often. There's usually one available that hasn't been traded in a while and that has swung to an extreme. If there isn't, then I just wait.
I do stick to a strategy, but my plan involves active trading and linearly ramping up the percentage of my 401K in bonds as I get older.
I'm a lazy rebalancer. When I started with my new company I was slightly overwhelmed by their offerings (over 50 funds) so I freaked out and told myself I'd research them more later, which I did.
At the same time, I altered some other investments from an old 401k plan I rolled over. And since I change jobs a lot, I probably have traded too much, but I rarely make major rebalance moves. Usually I just change the contributions that come in till it gets where I want it to be.
It's not good to stare at balances and panic. You always have to look at how far you've come on an investment and where you think it's going to go. But I do agree, it's not good to check all the time and execute lots of trades.
Have there been any Monte Carlo simulations showing the difference in returns from rebalancing once a year versus more often? Those would be great to see. I'm sure there could be market condition cases where rebalancing once a year works better than many times a year, but intuitively, I'm thinking that rebalancing more often returns more. This would be a great subject of study for a thesis by some grad student.
Sometimes I think the reason we're told to "set it and forget it" is because that's the message the financial companies want us to believe so that we don't cost them extra money with more transactions. It reminds me of the 3 month / 3,000 mile oil change.
I agree with you. It would be an interesting study to see what the performance difference is between potentially more frequent rebalancing due to market volatility and regular rebalancing based only on calendar dates. I wonder if this was already done though.
I like your comparison with the oil change. I think there are a bunch of things that we are lead to believe and that we actually believe then. It's called "common wisdom" which sounds a contradiction to me.
Did you not notice that something is wrong out there? Did you not see that the lies and thievery that is taking place is causing an erosion to capital?
Set it and forget it is for Turkeys, not money. Bury your head and bury your retirement. Hedging, sector rotation and some timing, while curse words for the industry, are so because they want you to keep out of your investments. If they told you otherwise, how would they keep your money? Come on, you are smarter than that....
Don't just sit by and believe that just because it was one way in the past that it will be the same in the future. This is a completely different situation, just look around...
Andrew